Despite the immense evil of war, Jesus said it is inevitable that wars will continue until He returns (Mark 13:7-8). In 2001, the war in Afghanistan had a clear and simple objective: capture or kill Osama bin Laden, degrade or destroy his al Qaeda network’s ability to wage war against America. Period. We knew where he was and we went to go get him. Like Vietnam, Afghanistan is a war based on paranoia. This war really isn’t about Afghanistan so much as it is about Pakistan and, ultimately, India. Even the most benign version of the 2010 theory ends with millions of dead people and a nuclear winter. None of which makes the Afghan war winnable or even a good idea, but it at least explains that look on the president’s face when he is forced to defend it.

Four Thousand Days

It is possible the largely-symbolic and ineffective Afghan army has found a way to do something Washington has tried and failed to do for twelve years: finally pull U.S. forces out of Afghanistan. The growing trend of so-called “green on blue” killings, Afghan soldiers turning their weapons on their U.S. advisors, is driving a nervous wedge between coalition forces and the native troops whose successful training will precipitate their exit. We are, of course, at war against ignorance, against tribalism. In the history of the planet, no army has fought and won in Afghanistan, and America’s mission has been murky, at best, since the decimation of the Taliban in 2001. I have no idea why we’re there or what we’re hoping to accomplish. The all-but admittedly corrupt Afghan president, who stole the election in 2009, is a dope fiend and a liar who exploits his people much the same way the resurgent Taliban oppresses them. There is nothing to win, there. And, despite Senator John McCain’s war-mongering and Governor Mitt Romney’s political opportunism, I am quite certain more troops staying longer will also gain us absolutely nothing. And, now, the very forces our strategy relies upon to allow us to finally leave are, incredulously, lousing up the plan by shooting US troops. I suppose they hate us and want us to leave. We’re anxious to leave but first these guys have to be trained and certified. As we train them, as they become proficient, they start killing our guys.

America has never been equipped to fight a tribal war. A war on ignorance is simply not winnable. A war against an ideal, against deeply-embedded traditions and mindsets, is a waste of blood and treasure. If we are unwilling to go in and nuke them off the face of the planet, anything short of that is a fool’s errand unworthy of the brave men and women who serve. We should not be nation-building in Afghanistan. Our goal should not be a stable democracy in places where such a concept is totally alien.

This week marks 12 years and 2,000 U.S. armed forces lost in this mission with no perceptible goal and no perceptible end. May God bless, protect and keep every American, every coalition partner, working to protect and improve lives in that theater.

How does God feel about war?

Cliff Leitch’s Christian Bible Reference site offers these notes: Despite the immense evil of war, Jesus said it is inevitable that wars will continue until He returns (Mark 13:7-8), and He did not oppose earthly governments or their right to maintain armies (Matthew 8:5-10). Other New Testament passages accept the necessity of maintaining armies and the worthiness of military occupations (Luke 3:14, Acts 10:1-6) Clearly, the Christian ideal is total elimination of war and brotherly love among all people. However, in this imperfect world, war may be forced on those who do not desire it. St. Augustine (354 - 430) and St. Thomas Aquinas (1225-1274) are primarily responsible for formulating the theory of the Just War which has remained the majority Christian approach to war to this day.

For eight very long years George W. Bush, appointed U.S. President in 2000 and (barely) elected in 2004, enjoyed the strong support of Christian conservatives who not only endorsed the president’s tragic, clearly misguided and pointless diversion into Iraq but aggressively saber-rattled on the president’s behalf for what amounted to a “Christian” crusade against Islam—a Holy War. The face of Christianity, so dominated in the 90’s by double-chinned southern evangelists, was a politically hawkish, pro-gun, pro-death sentence, anti-abortion, anti-gay (and, by inference, anti-civil rights and anti-free-speech) “Leave-It-To-Beaver-trip-back-to-the-‘50s” ignorance now personified by the astonishingly vapid Sarah Palin and those who don’t merely follow but worship this clueless woman whose George W. Bush-esque anti-intellectualism is an affront and stumbling block to women’s’ movements everywhere. Palin’s defense of her own vapidity, making a virtue out of intellectual laziness, is actually an escalation of the Bush Slacker Doctrine that plunged this nation into multiple wars and economic ruin, yet a great many conservative Americans flock to her, turning their brains, I suppose, to “neutral” as they make excuses for and defend Palin’s fingernails-on-a-chalkboard eighth-grader’s comprehension of vital national issues.

I don’t understand these people. I am slow to call them stupid—I don’t think that’s it. I think they are romanticists, longing for the postwar, pre-civil rights era of the early 1950’s. Such romanticism misses the point that this era, so beloved by worshippers of Ronald Reagan (who, I am sure, would have despised Palin as a caricature of his values and a greedy opportunist who co-opted what Reagan surely considered to be a sacred doctrine for brazenly political purposes), would never have allowed a woman to gain such national stature, let alone be elected president.

This was the era of blacks staying in their place. Of Jim Crowe and Joe McCarthy. This was the era of the Domino Theory, which had America fighting a police action in Korea and embracing a dictator in Indochina. It was a dangerous world of George W. Bush-esque simplistic idealism, Idealism which often ignored more stark global realities. For most Americans the postwar era was one of peace and prosperity, a world without worries or concerns. It is this era many conservatives hearken back to in our present-day political environment. Slogans like “Take Our Country Back” typically invoke a domestic sensibility mirroring the decade following the end of the second World War. This time period was the last time the idealized America—the dominant and prosperous white culture, the heroic military—went unchallenged. The stalemated Korean Conflict (1953) and the dawning of the African American Civil Rights movement (1955) called attention to America’s ideological deficits. The conservative political movement, idealized in modern times by Barry Goldwater and Ronald Reagan, Newt Gingrich’s “Contract With America,” the contemporary Tea Party and similar movements, commonly rely upon a romanticized view of the pre-Vietnam, pre-civil rights postwar decade as their ideal America. For many if not most nonwhites, the shrillness of the conservative call to “Take Our Country Back,” sans any repudiation of the shameful and oppressive practices of that day, evokes a shudder at the thought of what they want to take the country back to.

The Forgotten War: U.S. Soldiers with Alpha Company, 1st Battalion, 17th Infantry Regimen rest next to a canal during a patrol in Badula Qulp, Helmand province, Afghanistan, Feb. 17, 2010, during Operation Helmand Spider.

Playing To Win

In 2001, the war in Afghanistan had a clear and simple objective: capture or kill Osama bin Laden, degrade or destroy his al Qaeda network’s ability to wage war against America. Period. We knew where he was and we went to go get him. We knew where his network was and we went to go smash it. But, at critical stages, astonishingly poor and wrongheaded decisions were made. And, at a crucial moment, where we had bin Laden cornered, our president seemed either unengaged in what was happening, poorly uniformed about what was happening, or simply incompetent as he turned the search for and arrest of Osama bin Laden over to semi-literate, easily influenced Afghani tribesmen, who, rather than turn bin Laden over to us, aided his escape.

Perhaps the biggest failing of our former president was Mr. Bush’s grade-school under-achiever’s grasp of global politics and, yes, an apparent intellectual laziness (such as his failing to read or act upon a security memo titled Bin Laden Determined To Strike Within The US, which detailed al Qaeda’s 911 plans weeks before the attack). Bush did not seem to understand how much larger than life bin Laden would become and, thus, why allowing him to escape was not just an American failure but a global tragedy. Like Mercury escaping from a broken thermometer, al Qaeda has spread and grown in influence and notoriety, becoming the Islamic boogeyman troubling people worldwide and threatening global peace. My best understanding is Mr. Bush used Afghani tribal leaders to arrest bin Laden because he did not want to upset local Afghan leadership or offend Muslims. A notion that did not take into consideration how offended those same people might be if we ended up stuck in Afghanistan for more than a decade. The U.S. presence in Afghanistan is an ongoing offense to Muslims, even as it draws global attention to how weak and corrupt the Afghanistan national government is. There is little doubt, from any credible political analyst, that, despite our murky stated objectives in the region, that no mater what we do or how long we stay the outcome will be ultimately the same: the corrupt Afghanistan government will ultimately make a deal with the very insurgents we’re shedding blood to defeat. It’s really only a matter of when, a sad and useless game we are playing because we are not playing to win.

The truth is, we never have played to win in the region. No nation has successfully won a land war in that region in over a thousand years. When the Soviets invaded in 1979, we laughed at them. We armed and trained the insurgents against their Soviet aggressors. These are the very same people who bombed and ultimately destroyed the World Trade Center and who have sparked a worldwide Islamic jihad against the U.S. President Bush should have known that. Should have known nation-building in the region is, ultimately, a waste of time. Get bin Laden and prevent the massive spread of anti-U.S. sentiment in the Muslim world. Whatever hatred we may have encountered from a brief incursion has been made exponentially worse by our fruitless and pointless efforts in the region, and our ridiculous defense of Hamid Karzai, a man the extremists would and likely should hang from the nearest street lamp. Karzai, who brazenly stole the election in 2009, knows full well that, absent the umbrella of U.S. protection, he is a dead man. Which is why he has openly threatened to forge an alliance with the Taliban—the very people our sons and daughters are shedding blood to defeat. Karzai is an arrogant, corrupt little man who continues to utter anti-U.S. rhetoric, while current U.S. President Barack Obama is forced, politically, to make excuses for him. Our relationship with this man is an affront to our very principles as a nation and Obama knows it. His discomfort is visible as he stands there mouthing accolades and defending this petty little man and the useless, sad quagmire the U.S. is in over there. Which is, precisely, the mistake a previous U.S. president made.

Backing The Wrong Horse: Our relationship with this man is an
affront to our very principles as a nation.

Repeating History

U.S. President Dwight D. Eisenhower’s embrace of Vietnamese President Ngo Dinh Diem in the fall of 1955 likely marked the end of America’s postwar age of innocence. Diem’s election was widely suspected to have been rigged and Diem himself widely believed to be corrupt, but Washington believed it had no better choices. America’s support of Diem led to our involvement in the Vietnam War and, in turn, led many Americans to question America’s leadership and motives while tarnishing the wholesome image of the all-American G.I. These political and military patterns are eerily mirrored today with President Barack Obama’s embrace of Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai, whose reelection is widely suspected to have been rigged and Karzai himself widely believed to be corrupt. U.S. involvement in Afghanistan is, as Vietnam was, an undeclared war of extended duration with uncertain military objectives and eroding popular support.

Former commander of all U.S. and NATO forces in Afghanistan Lt. General Stanley McChrystal wanted to play to win. McChrystal, who was ostensibly fired by President Barack Obama for insubordination, showed disdain for the Obama Administration and the president himself based upon the general’s firm grasp of the reality of the Afghan enterprise. McChrystal and many other military experts acknowledge that, historically, handcuffing the military in order to appease corrupt leaders like Diem and Karzai have achieved absolutely nothing. McChrystal was presiding over a disorganized mess whose objectives were vague at best. Every military commander ever asked about this war has said virtually the same thing: we are not playing to win. We are putting U.S. servicemen and women in harm’s way with no clear, achievable military objective and no exit strategy. To play to win, we need 300—400,000 troops over there and an armada of aircraft and naval vessels. The country is too vast, the enemy too ancient and entrenched, for a war of economy. You can’t fight a war while trying not to offend anybody. Obama seems determined not to offend Afghans in specific if not Muslims in general, while trying to codify war hawk and dove politicians and get Democrats reelected in November. He is failing at all of those objectives. Everybody hates this war: those who believe in it, those who do not. There is no winning, here. There is no goal to achieve. There is only an open sore being made much worse, and the inevitable collapse of that region into tribal extremism which will absolutely continue to threaten the U.S.

So why does Obama simply repeat history? Has he, like Bush, dozed off in social studies class? I don’t think so. I believe our president is under tremendous pressure by the military and intelligence communities to keep the wheels spinning over there.

The Domino Theory was a foreign policy theory during the 1950s to 1980s, promoted at times by the government of the United States, that speculated that if one land in a region came under the influence of communism, then the surrounding countries would follow in a domino effect. The domino effect suggests that some change, small in itself, will cause a similar change nearby, which then will cause another similar change, and so on in linear sequence, by analogy to a falling row of dominoes standing on end. The domino theory was used by successive United States administrations during the Cold War to justify the need for American intervention around the world.

Referring to communism in Indochina, U.S. President Dwight D. Eisenhower put the theory into words during an April 7, 1954 news conference: “Finally, you have broader considerations that might follow what you would call the "falling domino" principle. You have a row of dominoes set up, you knock over the first one, and what will happen to the last one is the certainty that it will go over very quickly. So you could have a beginning of a disintegration that would have the most profound influences.” [Wikipedia]

Like Vietnam, Afghanistan is a war based on paranoia. This war really isn’t about Afghanistan so much as it is about Pakistan and, ultimately, India. Pakistan has nuclear weapons. Keeping nuclear weapons out of the hands of violent religious extremists is, likely, America’s top national security priority. It is only in that context that any of this makes any sense. The thought is, abandoning Afghanistan will lead, inevitably, to the collapse of that region into tribal religious extremists who will then set their sights on neighboring Pakistan and her nuclear arsenal. Which can and will lead to two things: (1) violent Muslim extremists getting their hands no nuclear weapons or (2) Pakistan using those weapons to defend themselves against the insurgents. What will surely happen, should Pakistan fall to religious terrorists is (3) India will invade Pakistan and/or unleash its own nuclear arsenal in a preemptive war to defend its Hindu nation against Muslim extremists.

Backing The Wrong Horse: Corrupt, unreliable, playing both ends against the middle.

The Scary Things

This is, most likely, the hell Mr. Obama is struggling to prevent even as both friend and foe hurl rocks at him for his handling of this war. Just as I’ve long suspected (and been proved correct), that President Bush certainly knew more than the public did about his motives and objectives in his own war plans, from what I can tell of Barack Obama, he’d like to bring our U.S. forces home tomorrow. He may have intended to do precisely that, until we won the presidency and received the in-depth security briefings that now likely keep him up at nights. He knows something or many things we, the American public, do not. Because Obama seems like a guy who despises war and wants to bring the boys (and gals) home. But he can’t. which ought to give us all pause about what scary things the president knows that we don’t. The mere fact we have a guy like Obama defending a guy like Karzai ought to curl our hair. Instead, we call the president names and criticize and scramble to vote in new people who—once they get inside and get the kind of briefings not available to those not inside—will convert to doing the same kinds of things we object to. There’s a reason for that.

Was the Vietnam-era Domino Theory simple paranoia? I don’t know. I was five years old, playing with Lego’s. Loved the Lego’s. Is the 2010 Domino Theory paranoia? Probably. But the 2010 version is much scarier and poses a much more direct threat to U.S. national security. Even the most benign version of the 2010 theory ends with millions of dead people and a nuclear winter. None of which makes the Afghan war winnable or even a good idea, but it at least explains that look on the president’s face when he is forced to defend it.

Christopher J. Priest
October 2000
18 July 2010
editor@praisenet.org
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